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Aerosols – The UNIPCC AR4 adjustment factor
Scientific effort should be dedicated towards resolving the biggest unknowns. After feedbacks, the largest area of uncertainty in forecasting future global warming is the measurement of radiative...
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Forcings – Hansen et al 2000 v UNIPCC 2007
Two months ago I did an analysis of aerosols in the UNIPCC AR4 report, observing that That the IPCC can’t add up. The figures appear contrived to show that only CO2 was the problem. Anthony Watts has a...
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Mid-Pacific Coral temperature proxies from Gergis et al. 2012
How odd is the Palmyra Atoll Coral Proxy? In the last post I noted that there was something odd about the Palmyra proxy used in the Gergis paper, particularly in the late 20th century. This is at 5°52′...
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How Gergis Suppressed The Medieval Warm Period
The now withdrawn Gergis paper proudly proclaimed in the abstract The average reconstructed temperature anomaly in Australasia during A.D. 1238-1267, the warmest 30-year pre-instrumental period, is...
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Gergis 2012 Mark 2 – Hurdles to overcome
BishopHill reported yesterday on the withdrawn Gergis paper that The authors are currently reviewing the data and methods. The revised paper will be re-submitted to the Journal of Climate by the end of...
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History Of How The Hockey Stick Was Manufactured
Reblogged from Real Science: There wasn't any hockey stick prior to the year 2000. The 1990 IPCC report showed that temperatures were much cooler than 800 years ago....
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RWE Atlantic Array to gain GBP169m in Windfall Profits
I have worked in management accounts in manufacturing industry for over 25 years. In that time I have learnt that audit controls are imposed to stop the potential for fraud, by eliminating any scope...
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Costs of Climate Change in Perspective
This is a draft proposal in which to frame our thinking about the climatic impacts of global warming, without getting lost in trivial details, or questioning motives. This builds upon my replication of...
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AR5 First Order Draft Summary for Policymakers – a few notes on pages 1 to 8
Alec Rawls has taken the brave step of releasing the first order draft of the UNIPCC AR5 Report. Anthony Watts has republished at Wattsupwiththat. Although Alec Rawls published in breach of signed...
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Are Climate Change and Obesity Linked?
Judith Curry has a (somewhat tongue-in-cheek) look at the links between climate change and obesity. One of the two references is to the care2 website. Consider the three alleged “links” between climate...
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Lamar Smith and Implementing effective policy on climate change
There has been considerable ire directed at Texan Congressman Lamar Smith for his Washington Post Op-Ed entitled “Overheated rhetoric on climate change doesn’t make for good policies“ Lamar begins...
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Showing Warming when it has Stopped
There has been no statistically significant warming for at least 15 years. Yet some people, like commentator “Michael the Realist”, who is currently trolling Joanne Nova’s blog, are claiming otherwise....
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Fundamentals that Climate Science Ignores
Climate Science is a hugely complex subject, dealing with phenomena that are essentially chaotic, with vague patterns. Yet the promotion of that science is banal and superficial. Below are some of the...
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Assessing the UNIPCC fifth assessment report
The first part of the UNIPCC AR5 is due to be published in the coming days. At the Conversation, Research Fellows Roger Jones and Celeste Young at Victoria University have posted Explainer: how to read...
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Radiative Forcing – UNIPCC AR5 undermines AR4, but scientists have unshaken...
Last year in “Aerosols – The UNIPCC AR4 adjustment factor” I claimed that in 2007 the UNIPCC engineered the radiative forcing components to tell a story. It basically manipulated the figures to account...
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7 Appendix – Deriving the Policy and Forecast Graph
In the introduction, the derivation of the graph to replicate the claim that the costs of catastrophic global warming will be many times greater than mitigation policy costs was logically incomplete....
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6 A halving of climate sensitivity
Lord Lawson, in a spirited attack on the Energy Bill passing through parliament, said in the House of Lords on 18th June 2013 There is an emerging consensus among scientists that the climate...
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5 The Climate Cost Curve
This is a draft proposal in which to frame our thinking about the climatic impacts of global warming, without getting lost in trivial details, or questioning motives. It is an updated version of a...
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4 The Mitigation Policy Curve – Part 2 – Counter-Examples
In the first part on the mitigation policy curve I looked at The Small Country Problem. How one small country acting unilaterally will make an insignificant impacts of global climate change. How it is...
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3 The Mitigation Policy Curve – Part 1
One of the aspects of neoclassical economics is that you make a whole host of assumptions, some of which are highly unrealistic. This enables one to look at the consequences of removing or changing the...
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